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By Henry F Diaz; Richard J Murnane

A systematic exploration of adjusting climatic extremes and their affects on society.

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Example text

Remote sensor observations provide some insight, but the relationships between the observable parameters and the actual events of interest limit the quality of the estimates. Another approach is to use observations of the larger-scale environments. As has been stated, the relationship between the observation and the event limits the estimate, but global coverage is possible. Time series of the favorable environments can also be developed from such data. In order to improve the estimates, the most pressing need is for better observational data on events.

Et al. (2006). Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa. 1029/2005JD006289. 2 Observed changes in the global distribution of daily temperature and precipitation extremes DAVID R. EASTERLING Condensed summary Observed changes in climate extremes have been documented for both temperature and precipitation in many parts of the globe. These changes include decreases in frost days and a lengthening of the frost-free season, increases in the number of days with temperatures above percentile-based thresholds, and increases in heavy precipitation events.

2006) showed that changes in the number of days (for night-time temperatures) exceeding selected temperature percentile thresholds corresponds well to areas with strong warming in minimum temperatures. In particular, the number of cold nights (less than the 10th percentile threshold temperature) has decreased for most of the areas examined, including the middle and higher latitudes of both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, and the number of warm nights (nights warmer than the 90th percentile threshold) have increased in the same areas.

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